Technical Analysis – Gold loses steam, after rallying out of long-term trading range
Posted on July 12, 2019 at 12:42 pm GMT
Anthony Charalambous, XM Investment Research Desk
Gold lost steam in the last weeks, after a rally that began at the beginning of June. The price moved sideways after the break above the upper boundary of the three-year and five-month trading range, of 1366, and is currently trading between the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs) of the 14- and 21-day SMAs.
Momentum indicators suggest a short-term neutral bias, as the MACD and RSI flatten out in positive areas. The Chikou span is pointing up and above the price, with the averages of the Ichimoku indicator flat as well. The ADX at 30 suggests the uptrend still stands strong.
Although the medium-term view remains positive, and should it hold up, there would be an immediate retest of the high of 1437.60 and the six year high of 1439.04.
On the other hand, for a shift to the downside, the 21-SMA, coupled with support at 1392.10 would need to be fractured before seeing the next obstacles of 1366 and 1346.60. But ultimately, only the break of the four-month low of 1266.20 would turn the outlook bearish.
Summing up, the short-term view is neutral, even though a general positive outlook exists.