Technical Analysis – USDTRY challenges 6-month high; trades well above SMAs
Posted on April 24, 2019 at 11:37 am GMT
Melina Deltas, XM Investment Research Desk
USDTRY has advanced above the 20- and 40-day simple moving averages (SMAs) and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the sell-off from 7.1135 to 5.1330, hitting a new six-month high of 5.8753.
Looking at the technical indicators, the stochastic is switching to the upside, challenging the overbought territory, while the RSI is approaching the 70 level, confirming the recent bullish tendency in price action in the near-term.
If the market corrects higher, the bullish action may pause initially near the 38.2% Fibonacci of 5.8855 and the upper Bollinger band. A rally on top of the latter would probably stage fresh buying pressure, with the price moving next to the 50.0% Fibonacci of 6.1200.
On the other hand, dropping below the mid-level of the Bollinger band could see losses extending towards the 23.6% Fibonacci of 5.5970. Even lower, the bears could stall around the lower Bollinger band currently at 5.4852.
The recent bullish action turned the weak momentum to a more aggressive one, with the shorter-term simple moving averages (SMAs) increasing distance above the longer-term SMAs, so we could expect further improvement in the market.